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Group C wraps up

Tomorrow morning, Group C of the 2010 Fifa World Cup will finish up. England will face Slovenia (who currently leads the group with 4 points) and USA will face Algeria. Both games take place at 10 am EST.

Here are Group C’s point totals and the scenarios of how this tightly contended group could play out:

Slovenia: 4
USA: 2
England: 2
Algeria: 1

Scenarios by Team

Slovenia:

1^st – one of

• Win
• Draw and one of

• Algeria win
• USA and Algeria draw
• USA wins and one of
  • USA’s margin of victory is 1 and Slovenia scores more goals than USA
  • USA’s margin of victory is 1, Slovenia and USA score the same amount of goals, and Slovenia wins coinflip

2^nd – one of

• Draw and one of
  • USA’s margin of victory is more than 1
  • USA’s margin of victory is 1 and USA scores more goals than Slovenia
  • USA’s margin of victory is 1, USA and Slovenia score the same amount of goals, and USA wins coinflip
• Loss and one of
  • USA and Algeria draw
  • Algeria wins and
    • Algeria’s margin of victory and England’s margin of victory sum to 2, and Algeria scores 3 or fewer more goals than Slovenia
• Bottom line: get a result and advance, lose and hope USA doesn’t win

USA:

1^st – win and one of

• Slovenia and England draw and one of
  • USA’s margin of victory is more than 1
  • USA’s margin of victory is 1 and USA scores more goals than Slovenia
  • USA’s margin of victory is 1, USA and Slovenia score the same amount of goals, and USA wins coinflip
• England win and one of
  • USA’s margin of victory is greater than England’s margin of victory
  • USA’s margin of victory is equal to England’s margin of victory and England scores 1 or fewer more goals than USA
  • USA’s margin of victory is equal to England’s margin of victory, England scores 2 more goals than USA, and USA wins coinflip

2^nd – one of

• Win and one of
  • Slovenia win
  • Slovenia and England draw, USA’s margin of victory is 1, and one of
  • Slovenia scores more goals than USA
  • Slovenia and USA score the same amount of goals and Slovenia wins coinflip
  • England win and one of
    • England’s margin of victory is greater than USA’s margin of victory
    • USA’s margin of victory is equal to England’s margin of victory and England scores at least 3 more goals than USA
    • USA’s margin of victory is equal to England’s margin of victory, England scores 2 more goals than USA, and England wins coinflip

• Draw and one of
  • Slovenia win
  • Slovenia and England draw and one of
    • England scores 1 or fewer more goals than USA
    • England scores 2 more goals than USA and USA wins coinflip
• Bottom line: win, or draw and hope England doesn’t win

England:

1^st – win and one of

• Algeria win
• Algeria and USA draw
• USA wins and one of
  • England’s margin of victory is greater than USA’s margin of victory
  • England’s margin of victory is equal to USA’s margin of victory and England scores at least 3 more goals than USA
  • England’s margin of victory is equal to USA’s margin of victory, England scores 2 more goals than USA, and England wins coinflip

2^nd – one of

• Win, USA wins, and one of
  • USA’s margin of victory is greater than England’s margin of victory
  • USA’s margin of victory is equal to England’s margin of victory and England scores 1 or fewer more goals than USA
  • USA’s margin of victory is equal to England’s margin of victory, England scores 2 more goals than USA, and USA wins coinflip
• Draw, USA draws Algeria, and one of
  • England scores at least 3 more goals than USA
  • England scores 2 more goals than USA and England wins coinflip
• Bottom line: just win, baby

Algeria:

1^st – impossible

2^nd – win and one of

• Slovenia win
• Slovenia and England draw
• England wins and one of
  • Algeria’s margin of victory and England’s margin of victory sum to 3 or more
  • Algeria’s margin of victory and England’s margin of victory sum to 2 and
  • Algeria scores at least 4 more goals than Slovenia
• Bottom line: win and hope England doesn’t win